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房贷政策趋于收紧? 澳大利亚房价增速或减半
发布时间:2016-06-22 14:08:44 来源:凤凰网 流量次数:1732 文字大小:【】【】【

据澳洲网报道,汇丰银行首席经济学家布劳森(Paul Bloxham)近日成为最新预测澳大利亚楼市降温的专家,他预测2016年悉尼与墨尔本的房价增长速度将减半。同时,澳专家预测,澳大利亚银行或进一步收紧房屋贷款政策,令原本就受到新州与昆州加征印花税打击的海外投资者更加望而却步。不过好消息是,阿德莱德政府在即将公布的新预算中表示,将延长印花税优惠政策并扩大适用的范围。

未来房价增或速降至4%

据报道,在经历过平静的圣诞节后,5月悉尼与墨尔本的房价增速再次回到13%及14%,刺激全澳年平均房价增速重回10%。

但汇丰银行首席经济学家布劳森表示,房屋贷款的收紧、公寓市场的供应过多及近日来新南威尔士州与昆士兰州政府加征印花税对海外投资者的打击,将给房地产市场带来压力。

为此,布劳森预计,2016年澳大利亚的平均房价增速将从9%下降到4%至5%,且2017年澳大利亚的房价将以0%至5%的速度增长。

投资者与业主贷款有差距

值得一提的是,由澳大利亚麦格理银行分析师折耳曼(Victor German)领导的最新研究发现,澳大利亚银行仍允许海外地产投资者申请大额的房屋贷款且额度远高于业主居住贷款者。

研究还指出,尽管有可能挤压银行的利润空间,但不少银行仍给与房屋贷款利率高达1.4%的优惠。

但折耳曼表示,尽管银行已经通过要求更高比例的首付及上调贷款利率来收紧对地插投资者的房屋贷款,但地产投资者与业主居住者可申请的贷款额度差距仍在加大。

对此,麦格理银行预计,房屋贷款市场的一些政策有进一步收紧的可能,尽管一些专家表示,澳大利亚的银行对地产投资者仍持有积极的态度,比保守的海外银行更加“开放”。

阿德莱德延长优惠政策

报道称,虽然新州与昆州的加征印花税在一定程度上打击了海外投资者对在澳购房的积极性,但好消息是,阿德莱德7月即将公布的新预算案,将延长印花税的优惠政策,并将扩大适用范围至全市。

虽然6月底高达1.55万澳元的印花税优惠政策即将到期,但阿德莱德政府表示,这一优惠政策将延长至2017年6月。

此外,此前的印花税优惠政策只适用于位于阿德莱德CBD及一些近郊区的公寓,但新预算案计划将范围扩大至全市。

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